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March 2025

inflation is cooling, but trade wars are heating up

Posted on Mar 05, 2025


The Federal Reserve's preferred gauge of inflation, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index, showed inflation edging down to 2.5% in January from 2.6% in December—progress that lacks the momentum markets had hoped for.

January's data matched consensus forecasts but did little to accelerate the path toward normalization. Core PCE, which exc...

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